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Tough Decisions

2017-06-08 10:41:38
By JEFF PAUR @jeffpaur
Sr Fantasy Writer

It is a difficult call every year to figure out the position to select early in your draft. And these are really make or break picks for many fantasy teams. If you miss out on a first-round pick, having a successful season is going to be a lot harder for your fantasy team. We thought it might be a good idea to look back at picks from the past few seasons and see the positions that were easiest to predict, comparing ADP numbers to end of the season fantasy ranking. By looking at these numbers, it will give you an idea of the positions that you need to hit on early in your draft. You will find the numbers to be interesting and maybe not what you expected. And away we go. . . .

First up, we will look at the quarterback position. These numbers might not tell you quite as much since the position is shallow and figuring out the top players at the quarterback spot might not be quite as hard. But even with that said, there were more misses than hits last year when it came to this position.

ADP	2015		RANK		ADP	2016		RANK
1    Andrew Luck   	28        	1    Aaron Rodgers  	1
2    Aaron Rodgers    	7        	2   Cam Newton   	18
3    Drew Brees    	6        	3    Andrew Luck  	4
4    Peyton Manning   	32        	4    Russell Wilson   	10
5    B. Roethlisberger 	20        	5    Drew Brees   	2
6    Russell Wilson    	3        	6    B. Roethlisberger	16
7    Matt Ryan   	18        	7    Tom Brady   	20
8    Tom Brady   	2        	8    Blake Bortles     	6
9    Matthew Stafford	10        	9    Eli Manning     	21
10    Tony Romo    	41        	10    Carson Palmer	17
11    Ryan Tannehill   	15        	11    Derek Carr   	12
12    Sam Bradford    	23        	12    M. Stafford    	7
13    Eli Manning    	8        	13    Philip Rivers   	9
14    Philip Rivers    	11        	14    Jameis Winston	11
15    Cam Newton    	1        	15    Kirk Cousins     	5
16    T. Bridgewater  	24        	16    Andy Dalton    	13
17    Carson Palmer 	5        	17    Tyrod Taylor    	15
18    Jay Cutler   	21        	18    Matt Ryan    	3
19    C. Kaepernick	31        	19    Marcus Mariota	14
20    Andy Dalton   	19        	20    Brock Osweiler	28

Just four of the top-10 quarterbacks selected last year were top-10 quarterbacks at the end of the season. This doesn't mean the six quarterbacks that finished outside the top 10 were complete misses, but it shows the position might not be as easy to pick as first thought.