Pitching Primer: Week 19

Mon Jul 28 12:51pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

The MLB trade deadline is Thursday, July 31. That makes projecting two-start pitchers for Week 19 a little tricky because players could change teams. As things currently stand, here are five pitchers who are lined up to start two times each next week, and what their matchups might mean for their fantasy baseball value.

Jacob deGrom, Texas Rangers: at LAA, at SEA

deGrom mowed down the Athletics in his last start, allowing one run and posting nine strikeouts over six innings. He has made 20 starts this season and allowed more than two runs in just three of them. His WHIP checks in at 0.90, and while it’s lower than his career mark, he still has a valuable 26.9% strikeout rate.

The concern with deGrom is how many innings will the Rangers allow him to throw this season. He only logged 10 2/3 innings last season and he hasn’t thrown at least 100 innings in a season since 2019. He is already up to 118 1/3 innings this season, so he could be shut down at some point. However, until that happens, he should continue to be an elite fantasy option. The Angels have struck out the most times in baseball and the Mariners aren’t far behind them with the fourth-most strikeouts, so deGrom has two great matchups on the horizon.

Matthew Boyd, Chicago Cubs: at MIL, vs. BAL

Boyd has been one of the biggest pleasant surprises in baseball. He has a 2.20 ERA and has allowed just 0.8 HR/9 through 20 starts. His xERA is a bit higher, but it’s still great at 3.22. He has shown excellent control, using his 5.2% walk rate to post a 1.01 WHIP. However, like deGrom, the concern is with how many innings he will be able to pitch. He threw 39 2/3 innings last season and has not thrown more than 80 innings in a season since 2019.

The Cubs are hoping to make a deep run in the playoffs, so it will be interesting to see how they handle Boyd’s workload down the stretch. For now, he’s a must-start in fantasy, especially with two starts coming for him in Week 19. The Brewers only have a .705 OPS against left-handed pitchers, while the Orioles have been even worse with a .621 OPS against them.

Cristopher Sanchez, Philadelphia Phillies: at CWS, vs. DET

Sanchez couldn’t have pitched much better than he did in his last start when he allowed one run over nine innings against the Red Sox. He did not walk a batter and finished with 12 strikeouts. Although he only has a 22.8% strikeout rate for his career, he has a 26.7% strikeout rate this season. That has helped him be a fantasy force with a 2.40 ERA that is backed by a 2.84 xERA.

Sanchez will begin Week 19 with a great matchup against the White Sox, who have the second-worst OPS and have scored the fourth-fewest runs in baseball. They are also tied for the 10th-most strikeouts. The Tigers are a much more daunting foe, but with how well Sanchez has pitched, he can limit even the best of lineups. He has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last 10 starts. During that span, he faced the Astros, Red Sox and the Blue Jays (two times).

Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays: at NYY, vs. LAD

Injuries have been a problem for Rasmussen. After he pitched 146 innings in 2022, he logged 44 2/3 innings in 2023. Last season, he pitched just 28 2/3 innings. He is already up to 95 1/3 innings this season and the Rays have made no secrets about wanting to limit his workload. He has not topped 75 pitches or four innings in any of his last four starts. The last time he threw at least six innings in a game was June 8.

Benching Rasmussen with his 2.93 ERA and 1.03 WHIP might seem crazy on the surface. However, he’s not pitching deep enough into games right now to have a significant fantasy impact. Also, he has two terrible matchups in Week 19 against the Yankees and Dodgers. They are two of the top three teams in baseball in runs scored. Outside of extremely deep leagues, it’s difficult to justify starting Rasmussen next week.

Slade Cecconi, Cleveland Guardians: vs. COL, vs. MIN

Cecconi posted a 6.66 ERA with the Diamondbacks last season, although his xERA wasn’t as bad at 4.52. Part of his problem was allowing 1.9 HR/9. He hasn’t given up as many long balls this season, but his 1.6 HR/9 allowed is still a concern. His ERA is much better this season at 3.76, but with his xERA being 4.87, some regression could be coming.

While the supporting stats aren’t great for Cecconi, he has still found a way to allow two or fewer runs in seven of his last nine starts. He’ll start Week 19 with a great home matchup against the Rockies, who have a .606 OPS on the road this season and who have struck out the second-most times in baseball. He will remain at home for his start against the Twins, who have a .692 OPS on the road. Don’t be afraid to stream Cecconi in most fantasy formats.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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